In June, The Professional Textile And Clothing Market Was Basically Stable, And The Prosperity Index Fluctuated Slightly

The prosperity monitoring results of China Textile Federation Circulation Branch show that in June 2021, the prosperity index of managers of the national textile and clothing professional market will be 50.00, down 0.16 percentage points from 50.16 in May; The business climate index of professional market was 49.71, down 0.46 percentage points from 50.17 in May. In June, the professional textile and clothing market was basically stable, and the prosperity index fluctuated slightly.

　　 1、 Prosperity of managers and decline of merchants

Data shows that in June, the prosperity indexes of managers and merchants of the national textile and clothing professional market fell as a whole compared with May.

　　 1. Managers' prosperity index dropped 0.16 percentage points

Chart 1 List of Managers Index

Data source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch

From the perspective of managers' prosperity index, in the total index, the managers' prosperity index in May was 50.00, down 0.16 percentage points from 50.16 in May; The business environment index was 50.65, down 1.29 percentage points from 51.94 in May.

Among the sub indexes, the total business volume index was 50.00, down 0.32 percentage points from 50.32 in May; The logistics shipment index was 50.00, up 0.65 percentage points from 49.35 in May; The passenger flow index was 49.68, down 0.64 percentage points from 50.32 in May; The door opening rate index was 50.32, down 1.29 percentage points from 51.61 in May; The rental index was 50.00, up 0.32 percentage points from 49.68 in May; The e-commerce sales index was 50.00, up 0.32 percentage points from 49.68 in May.

　　 2. Business climate index dropped by 0.46%

Table 2 List of Merchant Indexes

Data source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch

From the perspective of business climate index, in the total index, the business climate index in June was 49.71, down 0.46 percentage points from 50.17 in May; The business environment index was 50.48, down 0.14 percentage points from 50.62 in May.

Among the sub indexes, the sales volume index was 49.59, down 0.41 percentage points from 50.00 in May; The average price index was 48.84, down 0.34 percentage points from 49.18 in May; The profit index was 49.45, down 0.62 percentage points from 50.07 in May; The comprehensive cost index was 49.18, down 0.96 percentage points from 50.14 in May; The inventory index was 50.34, up 0.27 percentage points from 50.07 in May; The e-commerce sales index was 50.89, down 0.69 percentage points from 51.58 in May.

　　 2、 Data analysis

　　 1. Total market operation and logistics delivery index are stable on the whole

In June, 67.74% of the total business volume of the selected market was flat, and 67.74% of the logistics shipment volume of the selected market was flat, both exceeding 50%. The total business volume index and the logistics shipment volume index were stable on the whole, and the off-season of sales in the textile and clothing professional market continued.

　　 2. The total sales volume and profitability index of merchants are stable as a whole

In June, the proportion of the total sales of the selected merchants was 76.71%, and the proportion of the profit of the selected merchants was 78.08%. The total sales index and profit index of the merchants were generally stable, and the merchants and the professional market entered the off-season of sales simultaneously.

　　 3、 The overall forecast index declined slightly

The data shows that, for managers, the manager prosperity index in the next period is 50.65, down 0.32 percentage points from 50.97 in May; The business environment index for the next period was 49.68, down 0.32 percentage points from 50.00 in May. In terms of merchants, the business climate index of the next period is 50.48, down 0.14 percentage points from 50.62 in May; The business environment index for the next period was 50.48, down 0.07 percentage points from 50.55 in May. In terms of prediction index, four prediction indexes of managers and merchants declined slightly.

Attachment:

1. Monitoring methods

"Prosperity index of textile and clothing professional market" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, select markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabrics, home textiles and small commodities nationwide, and fill in the managers' prosperity index questionnaire and merchants' prosperity index questionnaire respectively.

　　 2. Monitoring samples

The managers' prosperity sample consists of 32 professional textile and clothing markets, including Guangzhou Baima Clothing Market, Beijing Tianya Women's Clothing Building, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao Home Textile Market, Shanghai Xinqipu Clothing Market and Liaoning Xiliu Clothing Market. The business prosperity sample consists of more than 150 businesses such as Taotao Clothing, Muzi Straw House, Ruili Hanshi, and Zhedi Clothing.

　　 3. Monitoring period

The boom monitoring cycle shall be monthly, submitted at the end of each month, and released at the beginning of the next month.

　　 4. Index composition

In the "Prosperity Index of Textile and Garment Professional Market", the "manager index" consists of four first level indexes, namely, the current manager prosperity index, the next manager prosperity index, the current business environment index, and the next business environment index; The "current manager prosperity index" consists of six secondary indexes, namely, total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

The "merchant index" consists of four primary indexes, namely, the merchant prosperity index of the current period, the merchant prosperity index of the next period, the business environment index of the current period, and the business environment index of the next period; The "merchant boom index of the current period" consists of six secondary indexes, namely sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

　　 5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes managers' total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales proportion index and merchant sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the greater the value, the more optimistic it will be; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's cost pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the cost pressure; The cost index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's cost pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; The inventory index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's inventory pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.

(Source: China Textile Federation Circulation Branch)